Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Older Patients with Specifically Developed Scores. Covino M, et al, J Am Geriatr Soc 2021.
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Résumé et points clés
Background/objectives: Several scoring systems have been specifically developed for risk stratification in COVID-19 patients.
Design: We compared, in a cohort of confirmed COVID-19 older patients, three specifically developed scores with a previously established early warning score. Main endpoint was all causes in-hospital death.
Setting: This is a single-center, retrospective observational study, conducted in the Emergency Department (ED) of an urban teaching hospital, referral center for COVID-19.
Participants: We reviewed the clinical records of the confirmed COVID-19 patients aged 60 years or more consecutively admitted to our ED over a 6-week period (March 1st to April 15th, 2020). A total of 210 patients, aged between 60 and 98 years were included in the study cohort.
Measurements: International Severe Acute Respiratory Infection Consortium Clinical Characterization Protocol-Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium (ISARIC-4C) score, COVID-GRAM Critical Illness Risk Score (COVID-GRAM), quick COVID-19 Severity Index (qCSI), National Early Warning Score (NEWS).
Results: Median age was 74 (67-82) and 133 (63.3%) were males. Globally, 42 patients (20.0%) deceased. All the score evaluated showed a fairly good predictive value with respect to in-hospital death. The ISARIC-4C score had the highest area under ROC curve (AUROC) 0.799 (0.738-0.851), followed by the COVID-GRAM 0.785 (0.723-0.838), NEWS 0.764 (0.700-0.819), and qCSI 0.749 (0.685-0.806). However, these differences were not statistical significant.
Conclusion: Among the evaluated scores, the ISARIC-4C and the COVID-GRAM, calculated at ED admission, had the best performance, although the qCSI had similar efficacy by evaluating only three items. However, the NEWS, already widely validated in clinical practice, had a similar performance and could be appropriate for older patients with COVID-19.
Références de l'article
- Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Older Patients with Specifically Developed Scores.
- Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Older Patients with Specifically Developed Scores.
- Covino M, De Matteis G, Burzo ML, Russo A, Forte E, Carnicelli A, Piccioni A, Simeoni B, Gasbarrini A, Franceschi F, Sandroni C, GEMELLI AGAINST COVID-19 Group
- Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
- 2021
- J Am Geriatr Soc. 2021 Jan;69(1):37-43. doi: 10.1111/jgs.16956. Epub 2020 Nov 30.
- Aged, COVID-19/*mortality/therapy, Cohort Studies, Critical Illness/*mortality/therapy, Emergency Service, Hospital, Female, *Hospital Mortality, Humans, Italy, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, *Severity of Illness Index
- Sans_Catégorie
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- Traduction automatique en Français sur Google Translate
- DOI: 10.1111/jgs.16956
- PMID: 33197278
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